cciia.org.cn 2020-9-9 11:14:53 國(guo)家統計局
2020年(nian)8月份CPI漲幅(fu)略(lve)有(you)回(hui)落 PPI同比降幅(fu)繼續收窄
——國家統計(ji)局(ju)城市(shi)司高級統計(ji)師(shi)董(dong)莉娟解(jie)讀2020年(nian)8月份CPI和PPI數據
國(guo)家統計局今天發布了(le)2020年(nian)8月份全國(guo)CPI(居民消費價格指(zhi)數)和PPI(工業生產者出廠價格指(zhi)數)數據(ju)。對此,國(guo)家統計局城(cheng)市司高級(ji)統計師董莉娟進行了(le)解讀。
一、CPI環比與同比漲幅均有回落,部分商品服務價格上漲較多
8月(yue)份(fen),各(ge)地積極貫徹落(luo)實黨(dang)中央(yang)決策(ce)部署,統籌疫情防控和(he)經濟社會發展(zhan)工作成(cheng)效顯著,市場(chang)供需總體平衡。從環比(bi)看,CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)回(hui)(hui)落(luo)0.2個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。其(qi)中,食(shi)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)回(hui)(hui)落(luo)1.4個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian),影(ying)響CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.31個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。食(shi)品中,由于蛋(dan)雞(ji)(ji)存欄量(liang)仍處低(di)位,夏季產蛋(dan)率不高,加(jia)之臨近開學(xue)和(he)中秋(qiu),需求(qiu)(qiu)增加(jia)較多,雞(ji)(ji)蛋(dan)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)11.3%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)擴(kuo)大7.3個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian);受高溫及降雨(yu)天氣影(ying)響,鮮菜價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)6.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)擴(kuo)大0.1個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian);豬肉供給有(you)所改(gai)善,但需求(qiu)(qiu)持續(xu)增加(jia),價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)仍上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.2%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)回(hui)(hui)落(luo)9.1個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian);受飼料成(cheng)本上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)、需求(qiu)(qiu)恢復及豬肉價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)帶動(dong)等因素影(ying)響,牛肉、羊肉、雞(ji)(ji)肉和(he)鴨(ya)肉價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)均(jun)有(you)不同程度上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang),漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)(fu)在0.5%—1.4%之間;鮮果(guo)供應充足,價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)繼(ji)續(xu)下降0.4%,降幅(fu)(fu)收窄4.0個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。非(fei)(fei)食(shi)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)由上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)持平轉為上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.1%,為今年2月(yue)份(fen)以來(lai)首次上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang),影(ying)響CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.09個(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)。非(fei)(fei)食(shi)品中,暑(shu)期出行(xing)增多,飛(fei)機(ji)票和(he)賓(bin)館住宿價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)別上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)7.3%和(he)2.1%;受國際原油價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)波動(dong)影(ying)響,汽油和(he)柴油價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)別上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.9%和(he)1.0%。
從(cong)同比看,CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅比上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月回落0.3個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)。其中,食(shi)(shi)品(pin)(pin)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)11.2%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅比上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月回落2.0個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian),影響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)2.33個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)。食(shi)(shi)品(pin)(pin)中,受去(qu)年對比基(ji)數(shu)影響(xiang),豬肉(rou)(rou)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)52.6%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅比上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月大幅回落33.1個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian);鮮(xian)菜價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)11.7%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅擴大3.8個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian);牛肉(rou)(rou)和(he)(he)(he)羊肉(rou)(rou)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)別上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)14.4%和(he)(he)(he)9.7%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅均有(you)回落;雞(ji)肉(rou)(rou)和(he)(he)(he)鴨肉(rou)(rou)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)別下降(jiang)1.6%和(he)(he)(he)0.9%,為(wei)近三(san)年來首次下降(jiang);鮮(xian)果和(he)(he)(he)雞(ji)蛋價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)別繼續下降(jiang)19.8%和(he)(he)(he)12.4%,降(jiang)幅均有(you)收窄。非食(shi)(shi)品(pin)(pin)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)由(you)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月持平轉為(wei)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.1%,影響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)0.04個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)。非食(shi)(shi)品(pin)(pin)中,醫療保健(jian)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)1.5%,交(jiao)通(tong)和(he)(he)(he)通(tong)信價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)下降(jiang)3.9%,其中汽油(you)和(he)(he)(he)柴油(you)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)分(fen)(fen)別下降(jiang)14.0%和(he)(he)(he)15.7%。扣除食(shi)(shi)品(pin)(pin)和(he)(he)(he)能(neng)源價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)(ge)的核心(xin)CPI同比上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.5%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅與上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月相同。
據測算,在8月份2.4%的同比漲幅中(zhong),去年價(jia)格變動的翹尾影響約為(wei)2.1個(ge)百(bai)分點(dian),新漲價(jia)影響約為(wei)0.3個(ge)百(bai)分點(dian)。
二、PPI環比漲幅回落,同比降幅收窄
8月(yue)(yue)份,工業(ye)(ye)生產(chan)持(chi)續(xu)(xu)向好,市場需(xu)求繼續(xu)(xu)恢復(fu),原油、鐵礦(kuang)石和(he)(he)有(you)(you)(you)色(se)金(jin)屬(shu)等國際大(da)宗(zong)商(shang)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)延(yan)續(xu)(xu)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)頭,帶動國內工業(ye)(ye)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)繼續(xu)(xu)回升。從(cong)環(huan)比看(kan),PPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)0.3%,漲(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)比上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)回落(luo)0.1個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。其中(zhong)(zhong),生產(chan)資(zi)料價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)0.4%,漲(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)回落(luo)0.1個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);生活資(zi)料價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)0.1%,漲(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)與上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)相(xiang)同。從(cong)調(diao)查的(de)40個工業(ye)(ye)行(xing)業(ye)(ye)大(da)類看(kan),價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)的(de)有(you)(you)(you)17個,比上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)減少4個;下降的(de)18個,增(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)3個;持(chi)平的(de)5個,增(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)1個。受國際原油價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)變動影響,石油相(xiang)關行(xing)業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)勢(shi)有(you)(you)(you)所趨緩,其中(zhong)(zhong),石油和(he)(he)天然氣(qi)開采業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)3.6%,石油、煤炭及其他燃料加(jia)(jia)工業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)1.2%,漲(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)分(fen)(fen)別(bie)回落(luo)8.4和(he)(he)2.2個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。其他主(zhu)要行(xing)業(ye)(ye)中(zhong)(zhong),價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)擴大(da)的(de)有(you)(you)(you)黑色(se)金(jin)屬(shu)礦(kuang)采選(xuan)業(ye)(ye),上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)4.3%,擴大(da)1.6個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);黑色(se)金(jin)屬(shu)冶煉和(he)(he)壓延(yan)加(jia)(jia)工業(ye)(ye),上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)1.5%,擴大(da)0.4個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)回落(luo)的(de)有(you)(you)(you)有(you)(you)(you)色(se)金(jin)屬(shu)冶煉和(he)(he)壓延(yan)加(jia)(jia)工業(ye)(ye),上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)3.0%,回落(luo)0.1個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian);農副食(shi)品加(jia)(jia)工業(ye)(ye),上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)0.6%,回落(luo)0.4個百(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)。此外,煤炭開采和(he)(he)洗(xi)選(xuan)業(ye)(ye)、燃氣(qi)生產(chan)和(he)(he)供應業(ye)(ye)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)均由漲(zhang)(zhang)轉(zhuan)降,分(fen)(fen)別(bie)下降0.9%和(he)(he)0.2%。
從同比(bi)(bi)看,PPI下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)2.0%,降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)比(bi)(bi)上(shang)月收(shou)(shou)窄(zhai)0.4個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點。其(qi)(qi)中,生(sheng)產資料(liao)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)3.0%,降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)收(shou)(shou)窄(zhai)0.5個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點;生(sheng)活資料(liao)價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)漲(zhang)0.6%,漲(zhang)幅(fu)回落0.1個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點。主要行業中,價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)收(shou)(shou)窄(zhai)的有(you)石(shi)油和天然氣開采業,下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)25.2%,收(shou)(shou)窄(zhai)2.6個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點;石(shi)油、煤炭及其(qi)(qi)他(ta)燃料(liao)加(jia)工(gong)業,下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)16.7%,收(shou)(shou)窄(zhai)0.3個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點;黑色(se)金屬冶煉和壓延加(jia)工(gong)業,下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)2.5%,收(shou)(shou)窄(zhai)2.1個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點。價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)幅(fu)擴大的有(you)煤炭開采和洗選業,下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)8.0%,擴大0.6個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點;化學(xue)原料(liao)和化學(xue)制(zhi)品制(zhi)造業,下(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)7.6%,擴大0.1個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點。此外,有(you)色(se)金屬冶煉和壓延加(jia)工(gong)業價(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)上(shang)漲(zhang)3.4%,漲(zhang)幅(fu)擴大2.7個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)分(fen)點。
據(ju)測算(suan),在8月份(fen)2.0%的(de)同(tong)比(bi)降幅中,去年價格變動的(de)翹尾影(ying)響約為(wei)0.1個百分(fen)點,新漲價影(ying)響約為(wei)-2.1個百分(fen)點。
日期:2020-9-9 11:14:53 | 關閉 |
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